https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Population_Bomb
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Limits_to_Growth [1]
McLuhan said "We look at the present through a rear-view mirror" and there is no area like that more than gender and reproductive issues. For instance the idea that men have it better than woman still persists although it's definitely not true for those under 30. [2]
The diffusion of the idea is still suppressed because it is right wing coded, it's going to take another 20 years or so for it to be safe to talk about in mixed company.
[1] this aged better, it predicted that real trouble starts in the next few decades
The architects of it don’t care, as they will have secured their own feudal power .by the point things get nasty
(Or... the commies pushed the button, and we all lived out a Tom Lehrer song, together)
Lagging indicators always seem to throw people off, especially one that takes a whole generation. China had an overpopulation problem and now they're facing a different kind of population problem as back then Chinese would opt for only one male child.
Longer lifespans and overpriced education led to other kinds of problems that took decades to kick in. It's really hard to model this in.
I think it's the fact that 2 workers per household (or family unit) is now common.
More people working in general, generally, reduces the value of labour, people are now paid relatively less.
If people are working and have career goals, plus are struggling to pay their own way, having children is less of an attractive prospect.
The costs of childcare here in the UK are also very prohibitive. We also have some other significant factors I won't go into.
It looks like generally, the more two worker households in a society, the lower the birthrate.
There are multiple ways to address this but I believe these are the main reasons.
Some numbers (courtesy of claude 4 research): Japan 1925 - 5.4 children per woman - ~20% women working
Japan 1950 - 3.6 children per woman - ~35% women working
Japan 1980 - 1.8 children per woman - ~47% women working
Japan 2000 - 1.4 children per woman - ~56% women working
Japan 2025 - 1.2 children per woman - ~74% women working
This has everything to do with government consequences.
When egalitarianism got women working; it meant they wouldnt be having kids.
When women have an income, they are able to 'escape' from relationships which reduces kids.
When you require kids to be in child seats; and your automotive regulations are shrinking cars for 'fuel efficiency' aka reducing the number of seats for kids to sit in.
All of these things then had state propaganda to push that these were good things for various reasons. It led to population collapse or worse, the pyramid schemes of retirement and socialized systems collapse.