Do you think AI is being hyped by "Surprisers"?

I’m not sure what you’re actually trying to ask here.

Are ai advancements being OVERLY hyped? Yes. That doesn’t mean there’s nothing to them, though.

Are ai advancements being hyped by paid ai hype shills? My guess would be yes. Again, that doesn’t mean there’s nothing to them.

Will the max usage end up being as high as current hypers are hyping? Unknowable. There is SOME amount of false hype, but also SOME amount of meat to the hype, and SOME amount of continued improvement in ai abilities. If ai abilities (not just underlying model strength, but also the ability to harness models in real use cases) stopped increasing today, then the total realized gain from AI would fall short of existing hype. If ai abilities continue to increase, then who knows when the hype bubble will pop.

Either way, when the hype bubble DOES pop, it will fail to reach the usefulness of peak hype, but that “when” could be tomorrow or could be after 10x improvement in actual usefulness.

I think it's being overhyped by those who fall into either of these two categories; - financial incentive to do so - feel the barrier to entry for "coding" is low enough for them to "build"

Yes I’ve been trying to put this into words and surprisers is perfect.

Suddenly you’ll see a lot of accounts on x and Reddit like this:

“Woah blown away by _____, really surprising. I think I just had my ah hah moment.”

Definitely, overhyped.

It is being sold as being able to replace 5% of the economy… today.

Anyone working in data science and ai development. Already know ai has already started to reach its limits…

nm, replacing developers or AGI.

The money men behind it have doubled down so hard that it has to succeed, or we’re going to have the mother of all stock market collapses.

I think in general it is not hyped, but the current wave of it is. Right now the cutting edge is LLMs, transformers and architectures around that. I think it's possible it will reach a limit in the next year or two, and even though that will change a lot of things it won't be a completely autonomous agent that can exist in the world like a human.

idk about the meme but the posts need to stop, they are definitely defeating the purpose of natural usage, causing mass effects that are beyond their control.

LLMs are the current phase in the evolution of AI systems. LLMs might be a hype. Time will tell if LLMs lead to AGI.

AI is not a hype. AI & Robotics are a phase of technological evolution.

99.999999% of AI scenarios will lead to extinction of humanity.

Doomers are smart. Optimists are delusional.

Humanity is playing with extinction level fire. We are accelerating towards it.